Magic number to retire; even no scare 3% inflation. How?
How to fight 3% inflation when you retire?
Some say $1,000 per month is enough to retire; another say $3,500; yet another say $5,000. And that is assuming no inflation effect that capsizes our plan.
Assume if you can retire with $5,000 per month singly.
How to do it?
Using my default Vindeep Xirr calculator, this policy gives xirr: 3.57%.
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Yr0: Age 47 (2012): Bought $100k policy. (Before my birthday at age 48 in 2012)
Yr3: At Age 50 (2015): $5k payout cash started
Yr4 to Yr11 (2016 to 2023): Age 51 to 58: $5k payout cash. I have been collecting guaranteed $5,000 p.a. for past 8 years.
Yr12 (now) at age 59 to Yr 19 at age 66 (= 8 years more before policy matures).
Yr20 at age 67: maturity sum $118k payout (which can be drawdown at $5k for next 23 years.) or $8k p.a. for next 8-years to account for inflation.
Yr-21 to Yr-21+22: another 23 years drawdown $5k.
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2. My own retirement expenses
This article, I hope to share with you how one can retire with $5,000 per month when retire and not even worry about inflation. All through 3 retirement income Taps; that is:
Tap#1: CPFLife at Max ERS topup annually
Tap#2: CPF OA Interest drawdown. Notice that I assume no interest from SA, even that I have 6-digit SA Balance. Reason: Once drawdown made on CPF Interest, SA balance will be drawdown to zero. So, assume $0 interest as buffer.
Tap#3: Important to me. This is my 18 endowments (new n resale ones) payouts. My payouts started last year:
2022: $40k
2023: $70k
2024 to 2028: $40k...
Monthly cost expenses for singly (with 3% inflation)
Age 60-69: $5,000 ($60,000 p.a. × 10 = $600,000) or $4,000 + ($1,000 from CPF OA Interest).
(total just cash needed: $4,000 × 12 x 10 = $480,000 for age 60 to 69).
At 3% compounded inflation, the $5000 monthly cost would become $6,700 need.
Age 70-79: $6,700 ($80,000 × 10 = $800,000);
or $5,000 + ($2,500 from CPFLife)
(Total just cash needed: $5,000 × 12 x 10 = $600,000 (for age 70 to 79).
($1,700 p.m. paid in excess by our CPFLife of $2,500 p.m. ERS payout; withdraw at age 70; compound at 7% from age 65 to 69).
At 3% compounded inflation, the $6,700 monthly cost would become $10,500 (to enjoy the current value of $5,000 p.m. lifestyle) at age 80.
Age 80-85: $10,500 ($10,500 × 12 × 6 = $750,000);
or $5,000 + ($5,500 from CPFLife+CPF OA Interest).
Total just cash needed: $5,000 × 12 x 6 = $300,000 (for age 80 to 85). By then, the OA would have accumulated to pay $2,000 p.m.
Grand total cash: $480,000 + $600,000 + $300,000 = $1,500,000 for drawdown from age 60 to 85.
If one has cash portfolio of $1,500,000 to invest @4.0%, it can collect dividend/interest ( $5,000 p.m. yearly.)
In this way, one can retire with $5,000 p.m., without worry about inflation. With the effect of inflation already buffered by our CPF.
Now we know the magic number is $1.5M. And beat 3% inflation achieves with CPF help.
How to save for it? It may be a tough number to build. Anyway, earn more save more. Earn less, work longer to save for it.
And one can even bequest the entire $1,500,000 portfolio.
But don't forget your accumulated srs balance for further buffer.
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